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Football picks with nothing hidden

Every day a statistical model ranks every fixture we can find and publishes its top 20 here before kick-off. After the games, every result goes up — the misses too — so you can judge the picks by their record, not by anybody's word.

What to expect

These are probabilities, not tips from an insider. Most days the top picks land a few points more often than a random game does — no more. A four-game accumulator of the top picks has won about two days in seven in our tests. Read how it works before you bet on anything.